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What will be the international response to Nicaragua's constitutional reform by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism without sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support or endorsement • 25%
Statements from international bodies such as the UN, EU, or OAS
Story
Ortega and Murillo Gain Absolute Power in Nicaragua, Defy Sanctions with New Constitution
Nov 25, 2024, 06:30 PM
Nicaragua's President Daniel Ortega and his wife, Rosario Murillo, have solidified their control over the nation through a constitutional reform that elevates Murillo to the position of 'co-president' and grants the couple absolute power. The reform, approved by loyalist lawmakers, has raised concerns among UN human rights experts about the potential for unchecked control over the population. Additionally, the National Assembly passed a law nullifying foreign sanctions against Ortega, Murillo, their children, and 50 officials, compelling local banks to disregard these sanctions or face penalties, including fines, operation suspensions, or charges of treason. This legislative move, which will officially take effect with the new Constitution in January 2025, is seen as a challenge to the international financial system operating in Nicaragua.
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Widespread condemnation • 25%
General approval • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Largely ignored • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
European Union • 25%
No significant action by any body • 25%
Strengthened Ortega's power • 25%
Increased political instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved political stability • 25%
New sanctions from the U.S. • 25%
New sanctions from the EU • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%