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What will be the impact of constitutional reforms on Nicaragua's political landscape by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened Ortega's power • 25%
Increased political instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved political stability • 25%
Analysis from political experts and reports from international political observers
Story
Ortega Proposes Six-Year Terms, Co-Presidency in Nicaragua
Nov 20, 2024, 08:25 PM
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has proposed a constitutional reform that would expand his presidential powers, extend presidential terms to six years, and establish a 'co-president' role for his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo. This move aims to give Ortega and Murillo absolute control over the state's powers, including tightening state control over the media.
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Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Increased authoritarian control • 25%
Emergence of significant opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Political reforms towards democracy • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General approval • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Largely ignored • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism without sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support or endorsement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Establish new embassies • 25%
Close existing embassies • 25%
Reassign current ambassadors • 25%
No significant changes • 25%