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What will be the outcome of Nicaragua's constitutional reform proposal by end of 2024?
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Daniel Ortega•Rosario Murillo•Ortega•Nicaragua•Chinese•Panama Canal•Organization of American States•OAS
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Official announcements from the Nicaraguan government or reputable news sources
Story
Ortega Proposes Constitutional Reform for Co-Presidency, Interoceanic Canal with China
Nov 20, 2024, 09:36 PM
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has proposed a constitutional reform that would extend presidential terms to six years and establish a 'co-president' position, elevating Vice President Rosario Murillo, his wife, to this role. The reform aims to consolidate Ortega's control over the state, including the media, and to subordinate all branches of government to the executive. Additionally, Ortega has revived the idea of an interoceanic canal through Nicaragua, offering the project to Chinese investors to avoid the water flow issues faced by the Panama Canal. The Organization of American States (OAS) has criticized the move as an attempt by Ortega to perpetuate his power.
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Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Strengthened Ortega's power • 25%
Increased political instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved political stability • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General approval • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Largely ignored • 25%
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism without sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support or endorsement • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased authoritarian control • 25%
Emergence of significant opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Political reforms towards democracy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%