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What actions will President Ortega and Vice President Murillo take by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Further punitive measures against political opponents • 25%
Reconciliation efforts with expelled prisoners • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
Credible news sources or official Nicaraguan government announcements
Story
U.S. Denies Concessions; Nicaragua Strips 135 Prisoners of Nationality, Seizes Property
Sep 10, 2024, 08:39 PM
The U.S. government has confirmed that no concessions were made to Nicaragua for the release of political prisoners. Following their release last week, Nicaragua's government stripped 135 expelled prisoners of their nationality and seized their property. The prisoners, who were deported to Guatemala, have faced further punitive measures ordered by President Daniel Ortega and Vice President Rosario Murillo. These actions have drawn criticism for their inhumane and cruel nature, further isolating Nicaragua on the international stage.
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Release more prisoners • 25%
Increase imprisonments • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased authoritarian control • 25%
Emergence of significant opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Political reforms towards democracy • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General approval • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Largely ignored • 25%
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism without sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support or endorsement • 25%
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
