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Will China increase its involvement in Panama Canal operations by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from Panama Canal Authority or Chinese government announcements
Story
Trump Proposes Exclusive Control of Panama Canal, Criticizes China and Current Management
Dec 21, 2024, 11:29 PM
President Trump has announced intentions to potentially reclaim exclusive control of the Panama Canal during his upcoming term. He criticized the current management of the canal, labeling it a 'complete ripoff' and asserting that Panama must cease its practices that he claims disadvantage the United States. Trump referenced historical context, suggesting a return to the Monroe Doctrine, which could signify a shift in U.S. foreign policy regarding the canal. His comments reflect a broader critique of China's involvement in the region, which he attributed to decisions made during previous administrations.
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Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Other entity gains control • 25%
U.S. partial ownership • 25%
Panama retains full control • 25%
Joint management • 25%
Other changes • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Panama • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Another country • 25%
No new perceived controller • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Panama • 25%
Other • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. • 25%
Support for U.S. • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%