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How will Panama respond to U.S. and Chinese involvement in the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthen ties with U.S. • 25%
Strengthen ties with China • 25%
Maintain neutrality • 25%
Seek other international partnerships • 25%
Official statements from the Panama Canal Authority or Panamanian government
Story
Trump Proposes Exclusive Control of Panama Canal, Criticizes China and Current Management
Dec 21, 2024, 11:29 PM
President Trump has announced intentions to potentially reclaim exclusive control of the Panama Canal during his upcoming term. He criticized the current management of the canal, labeling it a 'complete ripoff' and asserting that Panama must cease its practices that he claims disadvantage the United States. Trump referenced historical context, suggesting a return to the Monroe Doctrine, which could signify a shift in U.S. foreign policy regarding the canal. His comments reflect a broader critique of China's involvement in the region, which he attributed to decisions made during previous administrations.
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Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. • 25%
Support for U.S. • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Support for U.S. demands • 25%
Opposition to U.S. demands • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Other entity gains control • 25%
Negotiation with the US • 25%
Strengthening regional alliances • 25%
Seeking international arbitration • 25%
Increasing canal security • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%