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Who will control the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Other entity gains control • 25%
Official announcements from the Panama Canal Authority or international bodies
Story
President-elect Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over China's Influence and Overcharges
Dec 22, 2024, 12:10 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that he may demand the return of the Panama Canal to the United States. Citing concerns over Panama overcharging U.S. ships and the risk of the canal falling into the 'wrong hands', Trump declared, 'We will demand that the Panama Canal be returned to the US.' He emphasized the canal's importance to U.S. commerce and national security, referencing China's growing influence in the region since the U.S. transferred control to Panama in 2000. He also alluded to the decision made under President Jimmy Carter to relinquish control of the canal.
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China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Another country • 25%
No new perceived controller • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Panama • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Panama • 25%
Other • 25%
Reclaim control • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Strengthen ties with U.S. • 25%
Strengthen ties with China • 25%
Maintain neutrality • 25%
Seek other international partnerships • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. partial ownership • 25%
Panama retains full control • 25%
Joint management • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Remain under current management • 25%
Joint U.S.-Panama management • 25%
Joint China-Panama management • 25%
New international consortium • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%