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Potential new controller of Panama Canal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Another country • 25%
No new perceived controller • 25%
Reports and analyses by geopolitical experts and major news outlets
Story
President-elect Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over "Exorbitant" Fees
Dec 22, 2024, 07:30 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated that he may demand the return of the Panama Canal to the United States, citing "exorbitant prices and rates of passage" imposed on U.S. naval and merchant ships by Panama. He criticized the fees as a "complete rip-off" and warned that if Panama does not lower them, the U.S. should reclaim control of the strategic waterway. Trump also expressed concern that the canal could fall into "wrong hands," alluding to potential foreign control, and criticized the 1977 treaty under which President Jimmy Carter agreed to transfer control of the canal to Panama.
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U.S. gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Other entity gains control • 25%
Remain under current management • 25%
Joint U.S.-Panama management • 25%
Joint China-Panama management • 25%
New international consortium • 25%
U.S. partial ownership • 25%
Panama retains full control • 25%
Joint management • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reclaim control • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthen ties with U.S. • 25%
Strengthen ties with China • 25%
Maintain neutrality • 25%
Seek other international partnerships • 25%