Loading...
Market
Country with Most Influence Over Panama Canal by Mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Panama • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international relations and trade analysts, and news from reputable international media
Story
Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over 'Exorbitant Fees' and Chinese Influence
Dec 22, 2024, 11:58 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced that he may demand the return of the Panama Canal to the United States due to what he describes as "exorbitant fees" and "ridiculous tariffs" imposed on U.S. naval and merchant ships. Labeling the current charges a "complete rip-off," Trump criticized the 1977 treaty that transferred control of the canal to Panama as a mistake and referred to the canal as a "vital asset" for the U.S. He expressed concerns about growing Chinese influence over the strategic waterway and warned against letting it "fall into the wrong hands." Trump suggested that if conditions do not improve, the U.S. might retake control of the canal, invoking principles similar to the Monroe Doctrine.
View original story
Similar markets
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Panama • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Other entity gains control • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthen ties with U.S. • 25%
Strengthen ties with China • 25%
Maintain neutrality • 25%
Seek other international partnerships • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Colombia • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. • 25%
Support for U.S. • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Support for U.S. demands • 25%
Opposition to U.S. demands • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Negotiation with the US • 25%
Strengthening regional alliances • 25%
Seeking international arbitration • 25%
Increasing canal security • 25%