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Outcome of TikTok ownership issue by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban halted, TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok secures new non-China-based owner • 25%
Ban enforced, TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, the U.S. government, or relevant regulatory bodies
Story
President-elect Trump Expected to Halt TikTok Ban, Marking Policy Shift
Nov 12, 2024, 04:59 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to try to halt the potential U.S. ban on TikTok, according to reports from The Washington Post and statements from his allies. Trump had promised during his campaign to save the popular social media app if he won the election. TikTok faces a deadline on January 19, 2025, to secure a non-China-based owner to continue operating in the United States. This move would mark a significant policy shift for the incoming president, who has previously taken a hard stance against China.
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Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S. company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in U.S. • 25%
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%