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What will be TikTok's ownership status by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, U.S. regulatory bodies, or major news outlets
Story
US Court Unanimously Upholds TikTok Ban; Trump Pledges to Save App Before January 19 Deadline
Dec 6, 2024, 03:42 PM
A US federal appeals court has unanimously upheld a law requiring Chinese-based ByteDance to divest its popular short-video app TikTok in the United States by January 19, 2025, or face a ban. The court's decision affirms that the law is constitutional, allowing the US government to ban TikTok over national security concerns if ByteDance does not sell the app to an American owner. The ruling is a significant setback for TikTok as it fights for its survival in the US market. The potential ban is complicated by President-elect Donald Trump's opposition; he has pledged during his campaign to "save" TikTok and is expected to reverse the ban.
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ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok secures new non-China-based owner • 25%
Ban enforced, TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S. company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in U.S. • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 33%
Sold to U.S. company • 33%
Sold to non-U.S. company • 33%
U.S.-based tech company • 25%
European-based company • 25%
Consortium of investors • 25%
Other • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%