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What actions will TikTok take to avoid a US ban by January 31, 2025?
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Rand Paul•Supreme Court•TikTok•Chinese•ByteDance•United States•Paul•First Amendment•Americans•Oracle•American•Meta•Google
Resolution / Starting Odds
Divestment from ByteDance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or credible news reports
Story
Rand Paul Criticizes TikTok Ban, Cites First Amendment and January 19 Deadline
Jan 18, 2025, 02:17 PM
Senator Rand Paul has strongly criticized the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a federal law mandating TikTok's divestment from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, or face a ban in the United States. The deadline for divestment is January 19. Paul described the decision as a violation of the First Amendment, asserting that the ruling was based on accusations rather than concrete evidence. He argued that banning TikTok, used by 170 million Americans and ranked as the fourth most-used social media app in the U.S., is an authoritarian action inconsistent with the principles of free speech. Paul also pointed out that TikTok has offered measures such as storing data on Oracle's cloud and establishing an American board to address national security concerns. He criticized fears over data usage as overstated, comparing them to concerns about American companies like Meta and Google. Despite the Supreme Court's ruling, Paul expressed disappointment and joined TikTok as an act of civil disobedience, encouraging users to resist the ban.
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Other actions • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
No major action • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Complete divestiture • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
Other action • 25%
File another legal challenge • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Opposes the ban • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other action • 25%
Comply with ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Shut down U.S. operations • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%