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What will be the resolution of TikTok's legal challenges in the U.S. by April 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Court rulings or official government announcements
Story
President-elect Trump to Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension Before Midnight Ban
Jan 18, 2025, 08:32 PM
President-elect Donald Trump said on Saturday that he will 'most likely' grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a U.S. ban once he takes office on Monday, January 20th. The ban was set to take effect at midnight after the Supreme Court recently upheld a federal ban on the app due to national security concerns. The extension would give TikTok's parent company ByteDance additional time to work out a deal, potentially by selling the platform to a non-Chinese buyer, allowing the popular video-sharing app to continue operating in the United States. Trump remarked that 'the 90-day extension is something that will be most likely done, because it’s appropriate.'
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Other outcome • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban avoided through sale • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached, operations continue • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Appeal granted, no ban • 25%
Appeal denied, ban enforced • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Pending further legal review • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operational with conditions • 25%
Full operational clearance • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment and restructuring • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban Overturned • 33%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
First Amendment challenge fails • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
First Amendment challenge succeeds • 25%
Case dismissed on other grounds • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
First Amendment upheld • 25%
First Amendment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%