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What will be the outcome of TikTok's legal challenges against the U.S. ban by February 28, 2025?
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TikTok•Shou Chew•Donald Trump•Mark Zuckerberg•Jeff Bezos•Elon Musk•Chinese•ByteDance•Trump•Supreme Court
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban Overturned • 33%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Court rulings or official announcements from TikTok
Story
TikTok CEO to Attend Trump's Jan 20 Inauguration Amid Potential U.S. Ban on ByteDance's 170 Million User App
Jan 16, 2025, 03:24 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Chew is set to attend the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump on January 20, joining other tech industry leaders such as Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk. This invitation comes amidst uncertainty for TikTok, as the app faces a potential ban in the U.S. due to a law requiring its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to sell the platform or face a ban starting January 19. Trump has expressed intentions to save TikTok, discussing ways to delay or overturn the ban. The Supreme Court is expected to rule on the legality of the ban soon, with TikTok planning to go dark in the U.S. on Sunday if the ban is upheld. TikTok has 170 million users in the U.S., and the potential ban is driven by national security concerns.
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Similar markets
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
US government wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok divested • 34%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
TikTok banned • 33%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%