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What will be the primary US diplomatic approach to resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Direct Negotiations • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or policy documents from the U.S. Department of State or the White House
Story
Marco Rubio Calls for End to Russia-Ukraine War, Advocates Bold Diplomacy and Concessions
Jan 15, 2025, 04:28 PM
Marco Rubio, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for Secretary of State, has called for an end to the Russia-Ukraine war during his Senate confirmation hearing. Rubio emphasized that the conflict should be the official policy of the United States to end, advocating for 'bold diplomacy' to achieve a ceasefire. He stated that both Russia and Ukraine would need to make concessions to resolve the conflict, acknowledging the impracticality of Russia taking all of Ukraine or Ukraine pushing Russian forces back to their pre-invasion positions. Rubio highlighted the devastating impact of the war on Ukraine, noting the country's loss of infrastructure and population, and stressed the need for a realistic approach to peace negotiations.
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Peace settlement achieved • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Multilateral talks including NATO • 25%
Bilateral negotiations only • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Diplomatic focus • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Mixed approach • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%