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What will be Russia's key concession in peace negotiations with Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdrawal of Troops • 25%
Recognition of Ukrainian Sovereignty • 25%
Economic Compensation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian government or major international news agencies
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Marco Rubio Calls for End to Russia-Ukraine War, Advocates Bold Diplomacy and Concessions
Jan 15, 2025, 04:28 PM
Marco Rubio, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for Secretary of State, has called for an end to the Russia-Ukraine war during his Senate confirmation hearing. Rubio emphasized that the conflict should be the official policy of the United States to end, advocating for 'bold diplomacy' to achieve a ceasefire. He stated that both Russia and Ukraine would need to make concessions to resolve the conflict, acknowledging the impracticality of Russia taking all of Ukraine or Ukraine pushing Russian forces back to their pre-invasion positions. Rubio highlighted the devastating impact of the war on Ukraine, noting the country's loss of infrastructure and population, and stressed the need for a realistic approach to peace negotiations.
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No significant concessions • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Political concessions • 25%
Economic concessions • 25%
No significant concessions • 25%
Economic concessions • 25%
Political concessions • 25%
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Territorial concession • 25%
No major concession • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
No concession • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Territorial concession • 25%
NATO non-expansion guarantee • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Other condition • 25%
Lifting of sanctions • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
No concession • 25%
Territorial concession • 25%
Other or no agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without conditions • 25%
Non-aligned status for Ukraine • 25%
Demilitarization • 25%
Istanbul Agreements • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
New Framework • 25%
Security guarantees • 25%
Political autonomy • 25%
Economic reparations • 25%
Territorial disputes • 25%
Political Concessions • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Economic Concessions • 25%
No Concessions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%