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What will be the outcome of diplomatic efforts between the US and Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict by March 31, 2025?
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Kremlin•Russia•Ukraine•Taganrog•Beriev•5th Aviation Group•6955th Air Base•Dmitry Peskov•Russian Ministry of Defense•US•Russian•Pentagon•Sabrina Singh•Oreshnik
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Official statements from the US State Department or Russian Foreign Ministry, and major news outlets
Story
Russia to Retaliate Against Ukraine's ATACMS Attack on Taganrog, Warns of Oreshnik Missile Strike
Dec 12, 2024, 09:19 AM
The Kremlin has confirmed that Russia will respond to Ukraine's recent missile attack on the Taganrog airfield, which utilized US-supplied ATACMS missiles. The attack resulted in one soldier killed and 41 wounded, targeting not only the Beriev aviation plant but also a military unit housing the 5th Aviation Group of the 6955th Air Base. Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin's spokesman, stated that the response would occur 'at a time and in a manner deemed appropriate,' echoing the Russian Ministry of Defense's earlier declaration. This incident has escalated tensions, with the US expressing concerns over potential Russian retaliation. Additionally, Pentagon spokeswoman Sabrina Singh noted that Russia might launch a new Oreshnik missile against Ukraine in the coming days.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
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Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
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Increased US support for Ukraine • 25%
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Increased sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Ceasefire Only • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
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No agreement reached • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Continued negotiations • 25%