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What will be the resolution of the Ukraine-Russia conflict by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Ukraine, Russia, or international bodies
Story
Zelensky Optimistic Trump's Strength Can Broker Peace Talks to End Ukraine War
Jan 7, 2025, 05:52 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed optimism that a “strong” Donald Trump could broker peace talks with Russia and end the war in Ukraine. In interviews, Zelensky stated that Trump's strength and unpredictability could be decisive in forcing Russia into negotiations. He also emphasized that security guarantees from the U.S. are crucial for any ceasefire agreement with Russia, warning that without them, Trump would be 'giving Putin a pass.' Zelensky's comments come as Trump prepares to return to the White House, with the Ukrainian leader expressing confidence that Trump will bring a quick end to the conflict.
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Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
No agreement • 25%
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Full peace agreement • 25%
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Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
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Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
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Russia gains significant control • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
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Ceasefire • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
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Peace treaty signed • 25%