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What will be the outcome of US diplomatic actions regarding Ukraine and Russia by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from involved governments and international organizations
Story
Trump Opposes Ukraine's Use of US ATACMS Missiles Against Russia, Kremlin Agrees
Dec 13, 2024, 06:19 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has expressed strong opposition to Ukraine's use of American long-range ATACMS missiles to strike Russian territory, according to an interview published by Time magazine. Trump criticized the Biden administration's decision to allow these strikes, arguing that it escalates the conflict unnecessarily. He stated, 'I disagree very vehemently with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing that? We’re just escalating this war and making it worse.' Despite his criticism, Trump indicated he would not abandon Ukraine and aims to negotiate a ceasefire. The Kremlin has praised Trump's stance, with spokesman Dmitri Peskov saying it 'fully aligns' with Moscow's position on the escalation of the conflict.
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New sanctions imposed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased US support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Preliminary talks only • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No progress • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Reduced military support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
Strengthened military support • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%