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Outcome of US diplomatic efforts in Russia-Ukraine conflict by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Peace settlement achieved • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Official reports from the US State Department or credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Nominee Rubio Calls for Bold Diplomacy and Ceasefire to End Russia-Ukraine War
Jan 15, 2025, 04:00 PM
Marco Rubio, nominated by President Donald Trump as Secretary of State, has stated that it should be the official policy of the United States to end the Russia-Ukraine war. Rubio emphasized the need for 'bold diplomacy' to achieve this, suggesting that the process could begin with a ceasefire. He acknowledged that reaching a peace settlement would be challenging and would require both Russia and Ukraine to make concessions. Rubio also highlighted the dire situation in Ukraine, noting that the country is 'running out of Ukrainians' rather than financial resources. Rubio called for increased NATO defense contributions and stressed the importance of setting and achieving objectives in the peace process.
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Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Successful peace agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Direct Negotiations • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%