Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-Cuba relations by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. government statements, Cuban government announcements, and major news outlets
Story
Biden Administration to Remove Cuba From State Sponsors of Terrorism List, Suspend Title III in Final Days
Jan 14, 2025, 06:52 PM
The Biden administration is poised to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism in its final days in office, according to multiple U.S. officials familiar with the matter. This decision comes after more than 1,400 days since 80 House Democrats urged President Biden to reverse the sanctions imposed by the Trump administration. The move is expected to be announced soon, with a senior Biden administration official confirming that there is no information supporting Cuba's designation as a state sponsor of terrorism. Additionally, the administration plans to suspend Title III of the Helms-Burton Act, which has had significant economic repercussions for Cuba.
View original story
Similar markets
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Uncertain outcome • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal modified by Trump administration • 25%
Deal reversed by Trump administration • 25%
Deal remains intact • 25%
Vatican • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Release of political prisoners • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Other diplomatic gestures • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Trade agreements reached • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Lift terrorism designation • 25%
Suspend expropriation claims • 25%
All of the above • 25%
Rescind Trump-era restrictions • 25%