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What will be the outcome of Biden's Cuba terrorism list deal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deal remains intact • 25%
Deal reversed by Trump administration • 25%
Deal modified by Trump administration • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or news reports
Story
Marco Rubio Urges Cuba's Reinstatement on Terrorism List Amid Biden Deal
Jan 15, 2025, 09:20 PM
During his confirmation hearing to become the next U.S. Secretary of State, Senator Marco Rubio stated that Cuba should be reinstated on the list of state sponsors of terrorism. Rubio's comments come a day after the Biden administration removed Cuba from this list as part of a deal to free political prisoners. Rubio, who has long been critical of Cuba's government, cited several reasons for his stance, including Cuba's support for the FARC in Colombia, its friendly relations with Hamas and Hezbollah, strong ties to Iran, and the harboring of fugitives from American justice. He emphasized that the decision by the Biden administration is not binding on the incoming Trump administration, which will take office on Monday.
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Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
No significant change • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
Not by March 2025 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Positive response from EU • 25%
Negative response from EU • 25%
Positive response from Latin America • 25%
Negative response from Latin America • 25%