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Market
Will Cuba respond positively to its removal from the U.S. terrorism list by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the Cuban government or major news outlets reporting on Cuba's response
Story
Biden Administration to Remove Cuba From State Sponsors of Terrorism List, Suspend Title III in Final Days
Jan 14, 2025, 06:52 PM
The Biden administration is poised to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism in its final days in office, according to multiple U.S. officials familiar with the matter. This decision comes after more than 1,400 days since 80 House Democrats urged President Biden to reverse the sanctions imposed by the Trump administration. The move is expected to be announced soon, with a senior Biden administration official confirming that there is no information supporting Cuba's designation as a state sponsor of terrorism. Additionally, the administration plans to suspend Title III of the Helms-Burton Act, which has had significant economic repercussions for Cuba.
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February 2025 • 25%
Not by March 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
Negative response from Latin America • 25%
Positive response from Latin America • 25%
Positive response from EU • 25%
Negative response from EU • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
