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Will Cuba be removed from the U.S. state sponsors of terrorism list by January 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the U.S. Department of State or White House press release
Story
Biden Administration to Remove Cuba From State Sponsors of Terrorism List, Suspend Title III in Final Days
Jan 14, 2025, 06:52 PM
The Biden administration is poised to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism in its final days in office, according to multiple U.S. officials familiar with the matter. This decision comes after more than 1,400 days since 80 House Democrats urged President Biden to reverse the sanctions imposed by the Trump administration. The move is expected to be announced soon, with a senior Biden administration official confirming that there is no information supporting Cuba's designation as a state sponsor of terrorism. Additionally, the administration plans to suspend Title III of the Helms-Burton Act, which has had significant economic repercussions for Cuba.
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Not by March 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
Negative response from Latin America • 25%
Positive response from Latin America • 25%
Negative response from EU • 25%
Positive response from EU • 25%