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What will be the outcome of TikTok's efforts to lift the U.S. ban by Dec 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, the U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
Apple Removes TikTok and ByteDance's Lemon8 From U.S. App Store Following Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 03:54 AM
Apple Inc. has removed TikTok from the U.S. App Store, following a ban that has taken effect. The popular social video platform, owned by ByteDance, is no longer available for download in the U.S., affecting users who might want to reinstall the app. Additionally, Lemon8, another app owned by ByteDance, has also been delisted from the App Store.
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Similar markets
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
US government wins • 25%
Temporary reprieve granted • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok divested • 34%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban Overturned • 33%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%