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What will be the outcome of TikTok's legal challenge against the US ban by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok wins • 25%
US government wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Court rulings or legal documentation
Story
Biden Administration Exempts State Department's Public Diplomacy from TikTok Ban Amid First Amendment Concerns
Jan 14, 2025, 08:55 PM
The Biden administration has introduced a loophole in the proposed TikTok ban, allowing certain U.S. State Department employees involved in public diplomacy to continue using the platform. This exemption was detailed in an internal cable signed by Secretary of State Antony Blinken, which was leaked to journalist Ken Klippenstein. The cable specifies that these employees are exempt from the ban 'regardless of any potential failure of TikTok to be divested of its foreign PRC [People’s Republic of China] ownership.' This move comes amidst ongoing legal challenges by TikTok against the ban, arguing it violates the First Amendment. The administration's decision to allow government use of TikTok for public diplomacy, while seeking to ban it for the general public, highlights a contradiction in policy, as the platform is seen as a critical tool for reaching young audiences globally.
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Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
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Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Injunction denied • 33%
Settlement reached • 34%
Injunction granted • 33%