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What will be the outcome of the US Congress mandate on TikTok by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Divestment completed • 25%
Mandate extended • 25%
Mandate rescinded • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from US Congress, Trump administration, and ByteDance
Story
Biden Leaves TikTok Ban Decision to Trump, Set for Jan. 19
Jan 17, 2025, 01:54 AM
President Joe Biden will not enforce a ban on the social media app TikTok that was set to take effect a day before his departure from office on Monday, according to a U.S. official. The decision leaves the fate of the app in the hands of President-elect Donald Trump. Congress had mandated that TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divest the app by Jan. 19, but the outgoing administration has opted to defer the implementation of the law to the incoming Trump administration. Trump, who previously advocated for banning TikTok, has now pledged to keep it operational in the U.S., though his transition team has not detailed how they plan to achieve this. TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew is expected to attend Trump's inauguration, signaling potential efforts by the incoming administration to prevent the app's shutdown.
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Not sold, not banned • 25%
Sold to a non-US company • 25%
Not sold, banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Banned • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Ban • 25%
No action • 25%
Regulation • 25%
Other • 25%
Order issued and enforced • 25%
Order issued but legally blocked • 25%
Order issued but rescinded • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok remains available • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Restrict TikTok • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Allow with restrictions • 25%
No action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
Divestment • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%