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What will be the US government's decision on TikTok by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban TikTok • 25%
Allow with restrictions • 25%
No action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from the US government or regulatory bodies
Story
China May Sell TikTok US to Elon Musk's X if Ban Proceeds, Bloomberg Reports
Jan 14, 2025, 12:25 AM
Chinese officials are evaluating a potential option that involves Elon Musk acquiring TikTok's US operations if the company fails to fend off a controversial ban on the app, Bloomberg reports. Under this scenario, Musk's X—formerly Twitter—would take control of TikTok US and run the businesses together. The discussions are a contingency plan should TikTok be unable to prevent a ban on the popular short-video app in the United States.
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Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Permanent Ban • 25%
Temporary Allowance • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Conditional Operation Allowed • 25%
Ban Implemented • 25%
Ban Lifted • 25%
No Decision Made • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Conditional operation allowed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
No decision made • 25%
TikTok divested • 25%
TikTok remains with conditions • 25%
No changes • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Department of Commerce • 25%
Other • 25%
White House • 25%
Congress • 25%