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What will be the outcome of the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire negotiations by February 29, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire ends with resumed hostilities • 25%
Permanent peace agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu: Gaza Ceasefire Temporary, Israel to Free 33 Hostages for 737 Prisoners
Jan 18, 2025, 06:36 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that the ceasefire in Gaza, set to begin on Sunday, is temporary and that Israel retains the right to resume hostilities with U.S. support if necessary. Netanyahu emphasized that both President Joe Biden and President-elect Donald Trump have given Israel full backing to return to fighting if negotiations for the second phase of the ceasefire prove futile. He promised to meet all war goals, including the return of all hostages held in Gaza. The first phase of the ceasefire, lasting six weeks, will see the release of 33 hostages in exchange for 737 Palestinian prisoners. Netanyahu also mentioned that Trump has committed to lifting all remaining restrictions on U.S. munitions, enabling Israel to resume the war with significant force if needed.
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Talks collapse • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire with hostage release • 25%
No ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement approved but not implemented • 25%
Agreement approved and implemented • 25%
Negotiations continue beyond deadline • 25%
Agreement not approved • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapsed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement finalized • 25%
Ceasefire agreement delayed • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Temporary extension of ceasefire • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Military escalation resumes • 25%
All hostages returned • 25%
Partial hostage return • 25%
No hostages returned • 25%
Ceasefire not implemented • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire only agreed • 25%
Ceasefire and hostages release agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire with phased agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
No ceasefire, no hostages released • 25%
No ceasefire, hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire agreed, no hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire agreed and hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached but not implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement Rejected • 25%
Agreement Approved and Implemented • 25%
Agreement Approved but Not Implemented • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%