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What will be the outcome of the ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas by February 28, 2025?
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Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Hamas•Netanyahu•Biden•Doha•White House National Security•Jake Sullivan•CNN
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Israeli or Hamas representatives, or credible news outlets
Story
Biden Urges Immediate Ceasefire in Call with Netanyahu as Hostage Deal Nears
Jan 12, 2025, 05:48 PM
President Joe Biden spoke with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday to discuss ongoing negotiations for a ceasefire in Gaza and the release of hostages held by Hamas. Netanyahu updated Biden on the progress of the negotiations, including the mandate given to the Israeli negotiating team in Doha. White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan told CNN that an agreement is "very, very close." According to reports, Biden emphasized the immediate need for a ceasefire, the return of the hostages, and a surge in humanitarian aid to the region.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire with phased agreements • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Hostage Release Only • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%