Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Phase 2 Israel-Hamas negotiations by April 17, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Hamas•Israel Hayom•Channel 12•Netanyahu•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Temporary extension of ceasefire • 25%
Military escalation resumes • 25%
Official announcements from Israeli or Palestinian authorities, major news outlets
Story
Trump and Biden Agree January 17, 2025, to Allow Netanyahu to Resume Gaza War if Hamas Violates Ceasefire Amid Phase 2 Negotiations
Jan 17, 2025, 10:55 AM
U.S. Presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden have reportedly agreed to allow Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to resume military operations in Gaza if Hamas violates the ceasefire agreement or re-arms itself. This information was disclosed by various sources, including Israel Hayom and Channel 12, indicating that both leaders provided assurances to Netanyahu during recent discussions. The agreement underscores a mutual understanding that Israel could escalate its military response should the ongoing negotiations fail, particularly in the context of the second phase of talks regarding security demands from Hamas. Israeli defense officials have expressed strong support for this approach, suggesting a unified stance among U.S. and Israeli leadership on the matter.
View original story
Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Extended ceasefire • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Hostage Release Only • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Only Hostage Release • 25%
Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Only Ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire only agreed • 25%
Ceasefire and hostages release agreed • 25%
Partial ceasefire with phased agreements • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire with hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Hostage deal only • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
No hostages returned • 25%
Ceasefire not implemented • 25%
All hostages returned • 25%
Partial hostage return • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached but not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached and implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%