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What will be the outcome of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire negotiations by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Israeli or Hamas officials, or credible news sources such as BBC or Reuters
Story
Israeli PM Netanyahu Heads to Cairo for Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Deal; Agreement Expected Within Days
Dec 17, 2024, 02:29 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly en route to Cairo for talks on a Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal negotiations, sources briefed on the meetings said. A Gaza ceasefire deal is expected to be signed in the coming days, according to multiple reports. The discussions aim to finalize agreements on both a ceasefire and the release of hostages held by Hamas in Gaza. These developments mark significant progress towards ending the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas.
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Permanent ceasefire established • 25%
Temporary ceasefire established • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations collapse • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached with Barghouti's release • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached without Barghouti's release • 25%
No ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage deal only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement Reached • 25%
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Partial Agreement Reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Partial agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations abandoned • 25%
Formal ceasefire agreement • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release without ceasefire • 25%
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Other • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Cease-fire agreement with hostage release • 25%
Cease-fire agreement without hostage release • 25%
No cease-fire agreement • 25%
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Ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release agreement reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release agreements reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Ceasefire not achieved • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations collapsed • 25%