Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire extension • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or verified reports from major news agencies
Story
Netanyahu: Ceasefire Temporary; Israel May Resume War with New Force and U.S. Support
Jan 18, 2025, 06:45 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that the ceasefire in Gaza is temporary and that Israel retains the right to resume military operations if necessary, with full backing from U.S. President Donald Trump and President Biden. Netanyahu stated that if Israel needs to return to fighting, it will do so with "new means and with great force." He also mentioned that Trump has pledged to lift all remaining restrictions on U.S. munitions, allowing Israel to resume the war with "tremendous force." Netanyahu promised to meet all war goals and to bring back all hostages held by Hamas.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Ceasefire is extended • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major incidents • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor incidents • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
Fully successful • 25%
Extended or renegotiated • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Hamas • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds without violation • 25%
Ceasefire collapses entirely • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major violations • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor violations • 25%
Ceasefire holds with full compliance • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Ceasefire fully implemented • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down completely • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached and implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached but not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire ends with renewed conflict • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire ends without major incidents • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
No ceasefire, no hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire agreed and hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire agreed, no hostages released • 25%
No ceasefire, hostages released • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial ceasefire with phased agreements • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire and hostages release agreed • 25%
Ceasefire only agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire with hostage release • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Short-term ceasefire • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%