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What will be the outcome of diplomatic negotiations on Iran's nuclear program by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased sanctions imposed • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Official statements from the involved governments and international organizations like the UN or IAEA
Story
Netanyahu Vows to Prevent Iran from Acquiring Nuclear Weapons or Arms
Nov 26, 2024, 06:16 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reiterated his commitment to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons or arms. In a recent speech, Netanyahu emphasized that ensuring Israel's security by eliminating the Iranian threat is his top priority. He stated, 'I am determined to do whatever it takes to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon,' underscoring the urgency of the issue in the context of a ceasefire in Lebanon.
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New nuclear agreement • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Iran agrees to new restrictions • 25%
Iran refuses further restrictions • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Iran agrees to further restrictions • 25%
No change in current agreements • 25%
Iran withdraws from current agreements • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Return to JCPoA • 25%
New agreement • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
New Agreement Reached • 25%
Stalemate Continues • 25%
Negotiations Collapse • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
New Deal Reached • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stall • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased inspections agreed • 25%
Sanctions reinstated • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
New deal reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapsed • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
JCPOA reinstated • 25%
No significant progress • 25%