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What will be the outcome of negotiations for a new nuclear agreement with Iran by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements or agreements published by involved parties
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IAEA Chief Grossi: Iran Nears Military Uranium Enrichment, 2015 Nuclear Deal Obsolete, New Agreement Needed
Dec 17, 2024, 02:06 PM
Rafael Grossi, the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), stated that the 2015 nuclear agreement with Iran is no longer applicable due to significant advancements in Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities. Grossi warned that Iran is nearing military-level uranium enrichment, which could enable the country to develop nuclear weapons. He emphasized the necessity for a new agreement that reflects the current realities of Iran's nuclear program. Various reports indicate that Iran's progress in nuclear technology is accelerating, raising concerns about potential military applications. The IAEA has called for international cooperation to address these developments, as Iran approaches the threshold of becoming a nuclear-armed state.
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Successful Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
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Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stall • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
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Sanctions reinstated • 25%
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Iran agrees to new restrictions • 25%
Iran refuses further restrictions • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
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New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased sanctions imposed • 25%
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New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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Iran agrees to further restrictions • 25%
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Other • 25%
New deal reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapsed • 25%
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New Agreement Reached • 25%
Stalemate Continues • 25%
Negotiations Collapse • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%