Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Iran's nuclear negotiations by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stall • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased inspections agreed • 25%
Sanctions reinstated • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
Official statements from involved parties or international news agencies
Story
Iran Agrees to Increased IAEA Inspections at Fordow Nuclear Site Amid 60% Uranium Enrichment and Sanctions Threat from UK, France, Germany
Dec 12, 2024, 07:19 PM
Iran has agreed to increase inspections at its Fordow nuclear facility, as reported by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). This decision comes amid rising concerns over Iran's uranium enrichment activities, particularly its production of uranium enriched to 60% purity. In response to this development, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany have stated their readiness to reinstate sanctions against Iran if necessary. Iranian officials have indicated that while they are open to enhanced oversight, they will not accept additional monitoring beyond their existing commitments as long as sanctions remain in place. The discussions around these developments include insights from international relations experts and former diplomats.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Iran agrees to new restrictions • 25%
Iran refuses further restrictions • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
Iran complies with JCPOA limits • 25%
Iran expands nuclear program • 25%
New international agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Talks initiated • 25%
Talks rejected • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased sanctions imposed • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Iran complies with nuclear deal terms • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Iran • 25%
Military intervention occurs • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations continue without agreement • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Other • 25%
New Deal Reached • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Other developments • 25%