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Ortega Proposes Six-Year Terms, Co-Presidency in Nicaragua

Nov 20, 2024, 08:25 PM

Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has proposed a constitutional reform that would expand his presidential powers, extend presidential terms to six years, and establish a 'co-president' role for his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo. This move aims to give Ortega and Murillo absolute control over the state's powers, including tightening state control over the media.

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Will Nicaragua approve six-year presidential terms by end of 2024?

Daniel Ortega•Rosario Murillo•Ortega•Murillo

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official publication of the constitutional reform in Nicaraguan government gazette or reports from reputable news agencies

Will Nicaragua increase state control over media by mid-2025?

Daniel Ortega•Rosario Murillo•Ortega•Murillo

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Reports from international human rights organizations or press freedom indices

Will Rosario Murillo be established as co-president in Nicaragua by end of 2024?

Daniel Ortega•Rosario Murillo•Ortega•Murillo

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official government announcements or reports from credible news sources confirming the establishment of the co-presidency

How will the international community react to Nicaragua's constitutional reforms by Q1 2025?

Daniel Ortega•Rosario Murillo•Ortega•Murillo

Resolution / Starting Odds

Widespread condemnation • 25%

No significant response • 25%

General acceptance • 25%

Mixed reactions • 25%

Statements from international bodies like the UN, OAS, or major countries

What will be the impact of constitutional reforms on Nicaragua's political landscape by end of 2025?

Daniel Ortega•Rosario Murillo•Ortega•Murillo

Resolution / Starting Odds

Improved political stability • 25%

Strengthened Ortega's power • 25%

Increased political instability • 25%

No significant change • 25%

Analysis from political experts and reports from international political observers

What will be the scale of public protests in Nicaragua against constitutional reforms by mid-2025?

Daniel Ortega•Rosario Murillo•Ortega•Murillo

Resolution / Starting Odds

Major protests • 25%

Minor protests • 25%

No protests • 25%

Government crackdown on protests • 25%

Reports from reputable news agencies covering public protests in Nicaragua