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What will be HTS's role in Syrian governance as recognized internationally by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Recognized as government • 25%
Recognized as local authority • 25%
Recognized as non-state actor • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Reports from United Nations or other international organizations
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Senior US Official: Washington Post Reports Consideration to Remove Hayat Tahrir al-Sham from Terror List for Syrian Stability
Dec 9, 2024, 02:46 AM
A senior U.S. official has indicated that the Biden administration is considering the possibility of removing Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from the list of terrorist organizations. This statement, reported by The Washington Post, reflects an acknowledgment of the complexities involved in counter-terrorism efforts in Syria. The official noted that HTS's role in maintaining governmental institutions, including the military, may facilitate a transition towards stability in the region. The evaluation of HTS's independence from Turkey is also part of the ongoing assessment regarding its designation as a terrorist group. The discussions highlight the U.S. administration's efforts to navigate the challenging landscape of Syrian politics and security.
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HTS part of interim government • 25%
Other role • 25%
HTS forms own government • 25%
HTS excluded from government • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Widely recognized internationally • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Recognition status unclear • 25%
No recognition • 25%
UN recognition • 25%
EU recognition • 25%
Recognition by major powers (e.g., US, UK) • 25%
Recognized by regional countries only • 25%
Recognized by multiple Western countries • 25%
Sanctions imposed by multiple countries • 25%
No formal recognition • 25%
Transitional government • 25%
Authoritarian rule • 25%
Democratic elections • 25%
No new governance established • 25%
Stable control over Syria • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflicts • 25%
Loss of control to another group • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No support • 25%
Full support • 25%
Conditional support • 25%
Policy shift • 25%
No change • 25%
Both leadership and policy change • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
