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What will be the international response to HTS's role in Syria's new government by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full support • 25%
Conditional support • 25%
No support • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Statements from international organizations like the UN or EU, or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Urges Syrian Rebels HTS to Form Inclusive Government Post-Assad
Dec 11, 2024, 01:59 AM
The Biden administration has engaged in initial contacts with the Syrian rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which ousted Syrian President Bashar al-Assad from power. U.S. officials have urged HTS not to assume automatic leadership of the country but instead to support the formation of an inclusive transitional government that represents the will of the Syrian people. This outreach reflects Washington's stance that it will not back HTS's control without a comprehensive process to select new leaders, according to Reuters, citing two American officials and a congressional aide.
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Sanctions or military action • 25%
Other diplomatic response • 25%
Recognition by major powers • 25%
Continued isolation • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No major response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Widely recognized internationally • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Recognition status unclear • 25%
Recognized as government • 25%
Recognized as local authority • 25%
Recognized as non-state actor • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Disbanded • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Recognition by major powers (e.g., US, UK) • 25%
UN recognition • 25%
EU recognition • 25%
Recognized by regional countries only • 25%
Recognized by multiple Western countries • 25%
No formal recognition • 25%
Sanctions imposed by multiple countries • 25%
Other role • 25%
HTS excluded from government • 25%
HTS part of interim government • 25%
HTS forms own government • 25%
Increased sanctions on HTS • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%