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Will the U.S. recognize HTS as the governing body of Syria by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. government announcements or statements from the U.S. Department of State
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Blinken: U.S. in Direct Contact with HTS Over Assad's Ouster and Austin Tice
Dec 14, 2024, 04:39 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, speaking during his Middle East trip in Jordan, has confirmed that the United States has been in direct contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the Syrian rebel group under the leadership of Abu Mohammed al-Jolani that overthrew President Bashar al-Assad's government. Despite HTS being designated as a terrorist organization, Blinken stated, 'We are in direct contact with HTS and other parties in Syria,' indicating a significant shift in U.S. policy. Discussions with HTS have focused on the issue of missing American journalist Austin Tice and stressing U.S. principles for recognizing a future Syrian government. Blinken mentioned that the U.S. will review sanctions against HTS after assessing their actions. The international community is closely monitoring HTS's governance structures and potential impact on Syria's future.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN recognition • 25%
EU recognition • 25%
Recognition by major powers (e.g., US, UK) • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Widely recognized internationally • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
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Recognition status unclear • 25%
Recognized by multiple Western countries • 25%
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No formal recognition • 25%
Sanctions imposed by multiple countries • 25%
Recognized as government • 25%
Recognized as local authority • 25%
Recognized as non-state actor • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Full support • 25%
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Sanctions imposed • 25%