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Market
What will be ByteDance's response to the U.S. TikTok ban by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, court rulings, news reports
Story
TikTok and CapCut Shut Down in U.S. After Midnight Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 03:39 AM
On January 19, 2025, at midnight, TikTok officially shut down its services in the United States following a nationwide ban. The popular social media app is no longer accessible to U.S. users. CapCut, another app owned by TikTok's parent company ByteDance, has also suspended U.S. services as the company refused to sell.
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Similar markets
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
No major action • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Other response • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%
Increase marketing efforts • 25%
Launch similar features • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Finds Alternative Solution • 25%
Does Not Divest • 25%
Divests TikTok • 25%
Awaiting Supreme Court Decision • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok divested • 34%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok granted extension • 33%