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Market
What strategy will TikTok pursue to address the US ban by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Partnership with US company • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Compliance with US regulations • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or ByteDance
Story
TikTok Ceases Operations in US Due to Federal Ban, Affects 170 Million Users; Trump Considers 90-Day Reprieve
Jan 19, 2025, 04:08 AM
TikTok has ceased operations in the United States, becoming unavailable to its 170 million American users as a federal law banning the app took effect on Sunday. The app was removed from Apple and Google app stores, and users attempting to access it were met with a message stating, 'A law banning TikTok has been enacted in the U.S. Unfortunately, that means you can't use TikTok for now.' The message also mentioned that President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he will work with TikTok on a solution to reinstate the app once he takes office on Monday, suggesting a potential 90-day reprieve from the ban. The ban stems from national security concerns related to TikTok's Chinese ownership by ByteDance, prompting the U.S. Supreme Court to uphold the law on Friday.
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Other response • 25%
Alternative business strategy • 25%
Negotiation with US authorities • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
No major action • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Divestment from ByteDance • 25%
Launch similar features • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increase marketing efforts • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
File another legal challenge • 25%
Other action • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%