Loading...
Market
What action will the Trump administration take regarding TikTok by June 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
Official announcements or policy changes from the Trump administration
Story
Trump Expresses Support for TikTok, Won Youth by 34 Points, Signals Review of Ban Set for January 19
Dec 16, 2024, 05:19 PM
President-elect Donald Trump expressed a favorable view of TikTok, stating, "I have a warm spot in my heart for TikTok," during a recent press interaction. He indicated that he would consider reviewing a potential ban on the app, which is set to take effect on January 19, 2024. Trump attributed part of his electoral success to TikTok, claiming he won the youth vote by 34 percentage points and suggesting that the platform played a role in engaging younger voters. His comments mark a notable shift from his previous hard-line stance against the app during his presidency, when concerns about its Chinese ownership were prevalent. The odds of a TikTok ban occurring before May 2024 have reportedly decreased to 38% following his remarks, reflecting a potential change in policy direction under his administration.
View original story
Similar markets
Reverses ban • 25%
New policy announced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Supports divestment • 25%
Other measure • 25%
Permanent ban • 25%
Temporary allowance • 25%
No change • 25%
Other action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Executive order to keep TikTok • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
Ban Implemented • 25%
No Decision Made • 25%
Conditional Operation Allowed • 25%
Ban Lifted • 25%
Permanent Ban • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Temporary Allowance • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Announced intent to sell • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Modifies conditions • 25%
Maintains current policy • 25%
Other policy action • 25%
Reverses ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
Other action • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%