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Primary focus of HTS's activities in Syria by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Political engagement • 25%
Military operations • 25%
Humanitarian efforts • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and statements from HTS
Story
US Cancels $10M Bounty on HTS Leader Al-Sharaa After Anti-Terror Pledge
Dec 20, 2024, 06:24 PM
The United States has canceled the $10 million bounty on Ahmed al-Sharaa, also known as Abu Mohammad al-Julani, the leader of the Syrian group Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and considered by some as the de facto leader of Syria. US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, Barbara Leaf, announced the decision on December 20 after meeting with al-Sharaa in Damascus. During the meeting, which focused on Syria's political transition, al-Sharaa pledged not to allow terrorist organizations to operate in Syria or threaten the United States. The US had previously offered the reward for information leading to his capture.
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Reduction in territory • 25%
Expansion of territory • 25%
Increased international engagement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
HTS part of interim government • 25%
HTS excluded from government • 25%
HTS forms own government • 25%
Other role • 25%
Democratic elections • 25%
Authoritarian rule • 25%
Transitional government • 25%
No new governance established • 25%
Recognized as government • 25%
Recognized as local authority • 25%
Recognized as non-state actor • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Policy shift • 25%
Both leadership and policy change • 25%
No change • 25%
Economic recovery • 25%
Military restructuring • 25%
Diplomatic relations • 25%
Social reforms • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Disbanded • 25%
Stable control over Syria • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflicts • 25%
Loss of control to another group • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Reconstruction • 25%
Military support • 25%
Political stabilization • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
