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U.S.-Panama diplomatic dispute over canal fees by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets and diplomatic communications
Story
President-elect Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over "Exorbitant" Fees
Dec 22, 2024, 07:30 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated that he may demand the return of the Panama Canal to the United States, citing "exorbitant prices and rates of passage" imposed on U.S. naval and merchant ships by Panama. He criticized the fees as a "complete rip-off" and warned that if Panama does not lower them, the U.S. should reclaim control of the strategic waterway. Trump also expressed concern that the canal could fall into "wrong hands," alluding to potential foreign control, and criticized the 1977 treaty under which President Jimmy Carter agreed to transfer control of the canal to Panama.
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Fees reduced • 25%
Fees remain unchanged • 25%
Fees increased • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
U.S. gains control of canal • 25%
Panama reduces fees • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Panama lowers tariffs • 25%
U.S. imposes sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiation with the US • 25%
Strengthening regional alliances • 25%
Seeking international arbitration • 25%
Increasing canal security • 25%