Loading...
Market
Outcome of TikTok's legal battle over U.S. ban by January 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains operational without restrictions • 25%
TikTok remains operational with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or official announcements from TikTok or U.S. government
Story
Trump's Victory Could Save TikTok from U.S. Ban Despite National Security Risk
Nov 13, 2024, 08:12 PM
Donald Trump's recent victory in the U.S. presidential election could provide TikTok a reprieve from an impending federal ban. Despite previously labeling TikTok a national security risk in a March interview, Trump opposed banning the app. TikTok, the Chinese-owned video app, is currently embroiled in a legal battle that could see it banned in the U.S. in two and a half months. However, Trump has suggested during his campaign that he might intervene to save the platform, which would prevent it from losing one of its largest markets. How he plans to achieve this remains unclear.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins the legal challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the legal challenge • 25%
Case is settled out of court • 25%
Case is postponed beyond January 19, 2024 • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
TikTok loses and divests • 25%
TikTok loses and is banned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%