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Market
Primary influencer on TikTok's U.S. ban decision by January 31, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. Government • 25%
U.S. Courts • 25%
TikTok's legal team • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Official statements from the White House, U.S. courts, or TikTok
Story
Trump's Victory Could Save TikTok from U.S. Ban Despite National Security Risk
Nov 13, 2024, 08:12 PM
Donald Trump's recent victory in the U.S. presidential election could provide TikTok a reprieve from an impending federal ban. Despite previously labeling TikTok a national security risk in a March interview, Trump opposed banning the app. TikTok, the Chinese-owned video app, is currently embroiled in a legal battle that could see it banned in the U.S. in two and a half months. However, Trump has suggested during his campaign that he might intervene to save the platform, which would prevent it from losing one of its largest markets. How he plans to achieve this remains unclear.
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Similar markets
Ban Implemented • 25%
Ban Lifted • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Congress • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Other influencers • 25%
White House • 25%
Department of Commerce • 25%
Congress • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Relocate operations • 25%
Seek legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other actions • 25%
