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Market
Primary reason for TikTok's U.S. status by January 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
National security concerns • 25%
Economic interests • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official reports, legal documents, or government statements
Story
Trump's Victory Could Save TikTok from U.S. Ban Despite National Security Risk
Nov 13, 2024, 08:12 PM
Donald Trump's recent victory in the U.S. presidential election could provide TikTok a reprieve from an impending federal ban. Despite previously labeling TikTok a national security risk in a March interview, Trump opposed banning the app. TikTok, the Chinese-owned video app, is currently embroiled in a legal battle that could see it banned in the U.S. in two and a half months. However, Trump has suggested during his campaign that he might intervene to save the platform, which would prevent it from losing one of its largest markets. How he plans to achieve this remains unclear.
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Trump's intervention • 25%
Congressional action • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Other factors • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
U.S. company • 25%
Joint ownership • 25%
Other entity • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
U.S. Company • 25%
Joint Venture • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No resolution • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Trump halts ban • 25%
New ownership • 25%
Legal battle wins • 25%
Other • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Temporary stay on ban • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ownership changes resolve issue • 25%
White House • 25%
Department of Commerce • 25%
Congress • 25%
Other • 25%
