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Outcome of Israeli-Hezbollah conflict escalation by Dec 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no resolution • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
News reports and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Airstrikes Target Hezbollah Positions in Houmine al-Faouqa and Deir al-Zahrani, 17 Kilometers from Border
Jan 12, 2025, 09:02 PM
Israeli airstrikes have been reported in southern Lebanon, specifically targeting Hezbollah positions in the villages of Houmine al-Faouqa and Deir al-Zahrani. The airstrikes occurred near the Litani River, approximately 17 kilometers from the Israeli border. Local media indicate that these strikes are among the heaviest against Hezbollah in recent times, with reports of secondary explosions following the initial attacks. The Israeli Air Force (IAF) has not yet issued an official comment regarding the operations. Eyewitness accounts describe intense and continuous air activity in the region as IAF warplanes conduct their missions.
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Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation into war • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no further incidents • 25%
Limited skirmishes continue • 25%
Full-scale conflict resumes • 25%
Formal peace talks initiated • 25%
Hezbollah retreats beyond Litani River • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Significant military confrontation occurs • 25%
Ceasefire is maintained without violations • 25%
Israeli strategic victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah strategic victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peaceful resolution with full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance with ongoing tensions • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
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Ceasefire mutually violated • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Hezbollah • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
Resolution vetoed • 25%
No resolution proposed • 25%
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Resolution withdrawn • 25%