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Market
What will be the international response to Israel-Lebanon/Hezbollah conflict by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Statements from international bodies such as the United Nations or major countries' governments, reported by major news outlets.
Story
Israel to Treat Lebanon and Hezbollah as One if Ceasefire Collapses
Dec 3, 2024, 10:45 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has issued a stern warning to Lebanon, stating that if the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah collapses, Israel will no longer differentiate between the Lebanese state and Hezbollah. Katz emphasized that there would be no tolerance for Lebanon in such a scenario, and Israel would respond forcefully, treating Hezbollah and Lebanon as one entity. He urged the Lebanese army to enforce the ceasefire and keep Hezbollah away from the Litani River, warning that if war resumes, Israel would strike harder and deeper into Lebanon, including targeting Hezbollah's stronghold in Da'ahiya and Beirut.
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Similar markets
No Significant Response • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
Increased Pressure on Israel • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Increased US involvement • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
US diplomatic pressure • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
EU mediation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
No international response • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
UN sanctions on both • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Increased sanctions on Houthis • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Other response • 25%
Arab League mediation • 25%
No significant intervention • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%